the Kodak point lands harder when you remember those decisions were defensible with the data they had. rational off a stale map beats irrational off a fresh one right up until it doesn't...
I think that's exactly the uncomfortable part. Most obsolete maps don't fail immediately - they continue producing reasonable decisions long enough to build confidence in the model itself. By the time the mismatch becomes obvious, the real mistake happened much earlier, when reality quietly moved and nobody noticed. That's why updating the map is less about reacting to failure and more about continually questioning whether yesterday's assumptions still describe today's world.
the Kodak point lands harder when you remember those decisions were defensible with the data they had. rational off a stale map beats irrational off a fresh one right up until it doesn't...
I think that's exactly the uncomfortable part. Most obsolete maps don't fail immediately - they continue producing reasonable decisions long enough to build confidence in the model itself. By the time the mismatch becomes obvious, the real mistake happened much earlier, when reality quietly moved and nobody noticed. That's why updating the map is less about reacting to failure and more about continually questioning whether yesterday's assumptions still describe today's world.